Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help Ichimoku Cloud?

Crypto · 50 backtest runs · As of 20 Jul 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-31.4%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
34.3%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
+65.70%
Sample
50
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-32.4%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
32.4%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.388
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.348
Δ Sharpe
+0.74
DSR
21.6%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.1019 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 21.6%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 20 Jul 2026 · Methodology