Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena Blog

Arena Blog

Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.

📬 New posts straight to your inbox:
★ FeaturedMarket Structure

AI Agents and Crypto Payments: Where This Is Really Heading

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

This is the crypto-rail deep-dive companion to our earlier piece [AI and the Future of Payment Systems](https://tradingstrategies.work/blog/ai-future-of-payment-systems-2026), which covered the broader fintech picture including Visa Intelligent Commerce and Mastercard Agent Pay. Here we zoom in on what's happening on the crypto layer specifically.

AI-AgentsCryptoPayment-Systems+3
May 15, 20261 min
★ FeaturedStrategy Reports

What the 50 Top Coins Won't Show You

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

We ran our RSI/SMA strategy across the entire Binance USDT spot universe — 269 assets instead of 50. The picture that emerges is uncomfortable.

BacktestingCryptoRSI+4
Apr 30, 20261 min
★ FeaturedStrategy Reports

Strategy Reports: Why Running One Strategy Across 50 Coins Tells You More Than Running It on One

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

New product category on Backtesting Arena. Plus: a first look at the RSI/SMA report covering 50 Binance pairs.

strategy-reportsproductrsi-sma+2
Apr 25, 20261 min
Tools

Grid bot without volatility studies — we now suggest the range for you

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Anyone who has never set up a grid bot fails at the first step: range too tight → bot is immediately out of the corridor. Range too wide → barely any trades, no profit. We've built an auto mode into the grid backtest that suggests range and grid count based on 7-day volatility — KuCoin style. Plus the custom mode for power users that was already live.

grid-tradingfeature-launchauto-mode
May 22, 20261 min
Tools

Why More End Capital Isn't Always the Better Portfolio — Launching the Portfolio Simulator

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A 5-asset what-if simulator: Bitcoin, S&P 500, Ethereum, Gold and Cash. See your mix vs. 100% Bitcoin — with Sharpe, max drawdown and volatility, not just end value.

PortfolioSPXBitcoin+1
May 21, 20261 min
Backtesting

10,000 Backtests in 6 Weeks — What the Data Says About Us

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

41 days ago, the first backtest ran in the Arena. Today, we crossed **10,000**. Average pace: **248 backtests per day**, every day. We didn't see this coming — and the numbers say more about you than about us.

BacktestCryptoBitcoin
May 21, 20261 min
Tools

Why Fear & Greed Alone Isn't Enough — Introducing Arena Pulse

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A single number from 0 to 100, but built from 8 market indicators instead of one. Bullmarket stage, MVRV, Mayer, funding rates, hash ribbons — aggregated, transparent, free.

Fear&GreedArena-PulseBTC-Cycle+2
May 21, 20261 min
Tools

We're Opening Our API: REST + MCP + (soon) x402

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

For 18 months we've been quietly building Backtesting Arena — a platform where 500+ users have run 10,000+ backtests across Bitcoin, stocks, ETFs, commodities, and forex. Daily cycle scores, on-chain indicators, sentiment dashboards, strategy insights. All powered by the same data layer that's been running on a private quasi-API.

APIMCPX402+1
May 21, 20261 min
Tools

Why LLMs Can't Trade — What $60,000 in Losses at an AI Trading Arena Tell Us About Autonomous AI Trading

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Six frontier LLMs got $10,000 each and were told to autonomously trade crypto perps. Four lost more than 60 percent. The two winners were Chinese. What this really tells us isn't "China wins AI." It's: LLMs are language probability models, not market actors. A sober look at the latest empirical evidence that autonomous AI trading doesn't work.

LLMAI-TradingReinforcement Learning+5
May 20, 20261 min
Tools

What would have happened if you'd started with leverage in 2018? Now you can replay it.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

CAGR assumptions are smooth. Bitcoin isn't. Anyone planning in a hypothetical world of constant 20% growth is planning for a world that never existed. We've added a Historical Replay mode to the Bitcoin Lifestyle Calculator — pick a start year and we run your strategy through the actual BTC history with Mt.Gox aftermath, COVID crash, FTX collapse, and ATH hype. Here's why that's often brutal and always honest.

BitcoinLeverageLifestyle
May 20, 20261 min
📬

Don't miss new blog posts

One short email per new post — strategies, backtests, market analysis. No spam, unsubscribe with one click anytime.

By subscribing you accept our privacy policy. We use Resend for delivery. Double opt-in confirmation required.