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Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

PricingBlogBuild SaaS
🧭How it works🥋Strategies📖Wiki📓Glossary🎓How-To📚Reports
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🧱Market Structure₿BTC × Macro📈Market Pulse
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🎯Dip Decision Tool
💶DCA vs. Lump Sum
🔗Portfolio Correlation
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Strategies›Buy & Hold
Buy & Hold master

Buy & Hold Strategy

The benchmark for everything else — buy on day one, hold forever. The reference every strategy is measured against.

Try in Arena →View Live Insights →

Quick Facts

Type:
Reference
Plan:
Free
Asset Classes:
Crypto · Tokenized RWA
Indicators:
—

Platform Backtest

ⓘ
CAGR
+31.0%
Win Rate
—
Max DD
-53%

Default parameters · BTCUSDT · 1d · 4 years · B&H +31.0%

How It Works

Buy & Hold is the simplest possible strategy: invest your entire capital on day one of the trading window, then hold the asset until the end of the period — no matter what happens in between. There are no entry signals, no exit signals, no parameters.

Why it matters: Buy & Hold is the benchmark against which every active strategy must justify itself. A strategy that earns 15 % CAGR sounds great until you learn Buy & Hold made 30 % over the same period — your trading effort actually destroyed value. Conversely, a strategy that earns 8 % during a year when Buy & Hold lost −40 % is genuinely producing alpha.

On the platform: every backtest result automatically reports two Buy & Hold variants for context:

  • B&H (Day 1): simple buy on the first trading day of the period.
  • Avg B&H: average performance across all valid entry days within the period (with a 20 % minimum-remaining-time constraint), so the benchmark isn't biased by a lucky/unlucky single starting day.

The "Buy & Hold" strategy itself uses the Day 1 variant. If you want to compare against a more robust benchmark, look at the Avg B&H line that appears alongside every backtest result.

Entry & Exit Rules

▲Entry

  • ●Day 1 of the trading window — buy at open
  • ●Position is currently flat (always true at start)

▼Exit

  • ●Last day of the trading window — sell at close
  • ●Otherwise: never sell

Live Backtest

Strategy CAGR
+31.0%
Buy & Hold CAGR
+31.0%
Trades
1
Win Rate
—
Y-axis: Equity (USD, $10,000 starting capital)2022-07-23 → 2026-07-22

BTCUSDT · 1d · 4 years · default parameters · refreshed daily

Run with my own parameters →

Performance per Asset

Top-10 assets by average CAGR (1w interval), aggregated from community + platform backtests. Actual results depend on parameters and period.

AssetCAGRvs B&H★Win%YearsRuns
FTMUSDT+88.7%-44.3pp—67%5.03
SOLUSDT+74.1%+18.4pp—100%5.96
MATICUSDT+66.5%-33.3pp—67%4.73
DOGEUSDT+63.2%-14.8pp—80%6.55
BNBUSDT+62.3%-15.3pp—80%6.55
TRXUSDT+50.1%-12.4pp—80%6.55
SOLBTC+44.1%+42.7pp—100%6.12
ETHUSDT+39.7%-9.5pp—80%6.55
TRXUSDC+39.6%-10.3pp—100%7.22
AXSUSDT+35.3%0.0pp—100%5.74
pp = delta vs avg-B&H · ★ = robustness score 0-100 (CAGR / win-rate / drawdown / consistency).Full Insights →

Pseudo-Code

expand
// Day 1
BUY at open

// All other days
HOLD

// Last day
SELL at close

Strengths & Weaknesses

+Strengths

  • ●Zero effort — no monitoring, no decisions
  • ●Tax-efficient (single buy, single sell)
  • ●Best benchmark for evaluating active strategies
  • ●Captures all of an asset's upside without timing risk

−Weaknesses

  • ●Full exposure to drawdowns — capital can drop 80 %+ in crypto bear markets
  • ●Returns depend heavily on the start date (timing of the entry)
  • ●No risk management — psychologically painful in crashes
  • ●Doesn't capitalize on volatility (no rebalancing)

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Buy & Hold so hard to beat?+

Two reasons. First, in long-term bull markets (Bitcoin since 2010, S&P 500 since 1980), the asset itself does most of the work — any strategy that exits during the trend gives up alpha. Second, transaction costs and bad timing add up: studies show that even professionals with full information mostly underperform B&H over long horizons. Active strategies still have value (they reduce drawdowns), but pure return is a high bar to clear.

What's the difference between B&H and DCA?+

Buy & Hold puts all capital in on day one — you're fully exposed from the start. DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) spreads the same capital over many smaller purchases (e.g. weekly) — you're gradually exposed. B&H wins in steady uptrends; DCA wins when the market is volatile or temporarily dropping after your start date. Both are simple reference strategies — pick whichever matches your reality.

When should I prefer Buy & Hold over an active strategy?+

When you have a strong long-term thesis on the asset ("Bitcoin will be worth more in 10 years"), can stomach 50–80 % drawdowns without panic-selling, and have no time/inclination to monitor signals. Active strategies are worth the effort if you want lower drawdowns at the cost of some upside, or if you're trading assets without strong long-term tailwinds.

Related Strategies

DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging)

Buy a fixed amount on a fixed schedule — week after week, regardless of price. Smooths volatility, removes timing decisions.

—

Golden Cross

The classic trend-following signal — when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, the trend has flipped bullish.

SMA

RSI / SMA Cross

A momentum signal that triggers when the RSI crosses its own moving average — combining oversold detection with trend confirmation.

RSI · SMA

Don't want to backtest yourself?

Check out our Strategy Insights Reports — pre-baked deep-dives with historical results, comparisons, and market context.

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