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Does Altcoin Season Filter help F&G Cadence?

Crypto · 1621 backtest runs · As of 21 Sept 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-20.0%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-3.1%
Altcoin Season Filter
Δ CAGR
+11.45%
Sample
1621
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-20.2%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-3.4%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.319
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.057
Δ Sharpe
+0.08
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only during altcoin season — pooled across both modes (aggressive + conservative)

DSR Methodology

▼

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.0672 (expected best Sharpe from 10 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 21 Sept 2026 · Methodology