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Does Altcoin Season Filter help RSI OB/OS?

Crypto · 1547 backtest runs · As of 21 Sept 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-17.8%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-3.2%
Altcoin Season Filter
Δ CAGR
+4.40%
Sample
1547
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-17.9%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-3.4%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.047
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.126
Δ Sharpe
-0.04
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only during altcoin season — pooled across both modes (aggressive + conservative)

DSR Methodology

▼

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.0346 (expected best Sharpe from 10 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 21 Sept 2026 · Methodology