Backtesting ArenaBacktesting Arena

Confluence State · BTC

As of 24 Sept 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 76%Confluence State →

Confluence state: 2 of 5 independent domains aligned bearish (0 bullish / 2 bearish / 3 neutral). Dispersion 0.269 (high = split ensemble), net tilt -0.195. Read forward (valuation/sentiment gauges, not momentum): bullish = cheap/fearful, bearish = expensive/euphoric — a euphoric top reads bearish. Independence is measured, not assumed: effectively 3.81/5 domains (redundant: trend~onchain ρ=0.834). 2234 of 2453 comparable days at or above this level. A descriptive state beyond the bull-market gauge — not advice.

Factors

Related knowledge

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:confluence_state:btc:2026-09-24
  • Engine: confluence-state-engine vconf_v1
  • As of: 24 Sept 2026 · computed 2026-09-24
  • Repro hash: sha256:ab8c93e2c95233081…
  • Inputs: 5 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

← Bitcoin market stateUpdated 24 Sept 2026