Cycle Model Scorecard

As of 24 Sept 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 50%Cycle Model (public claim) →

Cycle-model scorecard 2026-09-24: spot 84,318 USD at h 4.6111 (block 968,331, cycle 4 at 61 %). Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave): fair value 85,964 USD, spot -1.9 % · Power Law (Santostasi): fair value 148,127 USD, spot -43.1 % · Rainbow (Trolololo 2014, frozen): fair value 273,133 USD, spot -69.1 % · Stock-to-Flow (PlanB): fair value 843,942 USD, spot -90.0 %. Dated calls: 4 closed, 3 pending — Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave) 0/2 hits, Stock-to-Flow (PlanB) 0/2 hits. Descriptive, not a signal.

Factors

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-1.92

weight 25% · contribution -1.92

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-43.08

weight 25% · contribution -43.08

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-69.13

weight 25% · contribution -69.13

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-90.01

weight 25% · contribution -90.01

Source & reproducibility

Object: ko:cycle_model_scorecard:global:2026-09-24
Engine: cycle-model-scorecard-engine v1.0.1
As of: 24 Sept 2026 · computed 2026-09-24
Repro hash: sha256:97b4b2e0344c634ff…
Inputs: 3 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

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