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169–180 of 181 posts · page 15 of 16

Market Structure

The End of the CME Gap — What Changes on May 29, 2026

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

On May 29, CME goes 24/7 for crypto futures. What the gap phenomenon really was, why it worked — and how weekend volatility, Sunday pumps, and day-of-week strategies are about to shift.

BitcoinMarket structureBacktesting
Apr 27, 20261 min
Market Structure

When a Lego Brick Falls: What the KelpDAO Hack Says About Concentration Risk in Crypto

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A $292M exploit, $13B in TVL outflows in 48 hours. What happened, why it hit everyone — and what it means for a crypto portfolio.

DeFiRisk management
Apr 25, 20261 min
Strategy Reports

Strategy Reports: Why Running One Strategy Across 50 Coins Tells You More Than Running It on One

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

New product category on Backtesting Arena. Plus: a first look at the RSI/SMA report covering 50 Binance pairs.

CryptoBacktesting
Apr 25, 20261 min
Strategy

Why 80% Win Rate Doesn't Mean You're Making Money

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Open any signal-service landing page. The first number you see is almost always a win rate. 76%. 82%. 91%.

DrawdownBacktesting
Apr 24, 20261 min
Tools

Three Ways to Live Off Your Bitcoin — And the Math That Tells You Which One Wins

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Sell, borrow, or borrow-and-buy more? Three strategies with real numbers, stress-tested against the Bitcoin Power Law.

BitcoinBuy & HoldLeverage
Apr 23, 20261 min
Tools

Backtesting Arena – A New Platform for Systematic Trading

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Backtesting Arena (tradingstrategies.work) is a newly launched SaaS platform that lets traders and investors systematically test, compare and live-monitor trading strategies – across five asset classes: stocks, ETFs, commodities, forex and cryptocurrencies.

Apr 23, 20261 min
Strategy

When RSI Drops Below 30 on Bitcoin — What 29 Signals Since 2015 Actually Tell Us

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

"RSI below 30 means oversold" is one of the most repeated phrases in trading education. The implied promise: when it triggers, a bounce is coming. Buy the dip.

RSI
Apr 22, 20261 min
Market Structure

The STRC Machine — How Saylor Turned the Bear Market Into a Bitcoin Accumulation Engine

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

There's a phrase you hear in every Bitcoin bear market: "wait for the forced sellers." Leveraged treasury companies, miners bleeding cash, funds facing redemptions — the theory says a prolonged downturn eventually flushes out the weak hands and marks the bottom.

Strategy
Apr 21, 20261 min
Backtesting

Why We Currently Use Binance Data Only — And What That Has to Do With Honest Backtesting

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

MEXC lists 3,000 coins, Binance 'only' 400. We still deliberately use Binance data exclusively. The reason is simple: a backtest is only as good as its price history. Here's why data quality beats coin count.

Apr 20, 20261 min
Market Analysis

We Built the Bitcoin Cycle Indicator From the Last Post — Here's What the Data Showed

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

In the last post we argued that adaptive normalization and institutional dampening are the future of cycle indicators. Then we built exactly one — and tested it honestly. The results forced us to reposition the indicator.

Apr 19, 20261 min
Strategy

Most crypto traders ask the wrong question about altcoins

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Most crypto traders ask the wrong question. Not "which altcoin should I buy?" — but "is it even altcoin season right now?" Buy the best altcoin at the wrong time and you'll still lose to someone who just held Bitcoin. Timing the market regime matters more than picking the right token.

Apr 18, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Why building a Bitcoin top/bottom indicator is harder than it looks

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Everyone wants a reliable Bitcoin cycle indicator. Buy near the bottom, sell near the top. Simple concept. Surprisingly hard to build well. Here's what we learned trying to build one — and why the classic approaches are becoming less reliable with every cycle.

Bitcoin
Apr 18, 20261 min
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