Solana — Cycle Position

As of 24 Sept 2026 · SOL · Point-in-time, price-derived · Explainable, not a trading signal

DistributionCycle score 72/100Confidence 100%

Raw composite 46/100 from 3 of 3 price-derived indicators (mayer, rsi_w, ma200w), z-normalized against SOL's own history. Spot ≈ $114.15.

Cycle indicators

Mayer Multiple
Score 28.43 / 100
weight 37% · 72.2th pct (n=2036)
Weekly RSI
Score 62.33 / 100
weight 30% · 78th pct (n=2036)
200-Week MA distance
Score 50.88 / 100
weight 33% · 27.8th pct (n=843)

The composite cycle score sits at the 95.3th percentile of SOL's own history (n=843, regime-homogeneous) — historically hot.

Why SOL uses fewer indicators than Bitcoin (7 not applicable)

Bitcoin-native indicators are marked not_applicable rather than filled with pseudo-values — the gap stays visible, not broken:

  • halving — No halving schedule for non-Bitcoin assets.
  • btc dominance — Bitcoin-specific market-share metric.
  • mining difficulty — Proof-of-work difficulty is Bitcoin-native (ETH is PoS, SOL is PoS).
  • hash ribbons — Derived from Bitcoin miner hashrate.
  • fear greed — The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a market-wide (BTC-led) index, not per-coin.
  • pi cycle — Pi-Cycle constants (113/355DMA top, 471×0.745/150DMA bottom) are empirically calibrated to Bitcoin halving cycles and do not transfer.
  • onchain valuation — MVRV-Z / Puell / BRK on-chain series are Bitcoin-only in this dataset.
Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:alt_cycle:sol:2026-09-24
  • Engine: alt-cycle-engine v1.0.0
  • As of: 24 Sept 2026 · computed 2026-09-24
  • Source: alt_cycle_snapshots (SOL) · computed look-ahead-free

Related knowledge

This is a descriptive, explainable cycle read for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Percentile and historical figures describe the past; they do not predict the future.

Dig into the data

Backtest strategies on SOL, or query the Solana cycle via the API/MCP (arena_get_cycle).

← Market stateUpdated 24 Sept 2026