SolanaCycle Position

As of 23 Jul 2026 · SOL · Point-in-time, price-derived · Explainable, not a trading signal

RecoveryCycle score 43/100Confidence 100%

Raw composite 32/100 from 3 of 3 price-derived indicators (mayer, rsi_w, ma200w), z-normalized against SOL's own history. Spot ≈ $77.73.

Cycle indicators

Mayer Multiple
Score 15.48 / 100
weight 37% · 38.2th pct (n=1974)
Weekly RSI
Score 40.86 / 100
weight 30% · 27.3th pct (n=1974)
200-Week MA distance
Score 41.63 / 100
weight 33% · 5th pct (n=781)

The composite cycle score sits at the 63.6th percentile of SOL's own history (n=781, regime-homogeneous) — mid-range.

Why SOL uses fewer indicators than Bitcoin (7 not applicable)

Bitcoin-native indicators are marked not_applicable rather than filled with pseudo-values — the gap stays visible, not broken:

  • halvingNo halving schedule for non-Bitcoin assets.
  • btc dominanceBitcoin-specific market-share metric.
  • mining difficultyProof-of-work difficulty is Bitcoin-native (ETH is PoS, SOL is PoS).
  • hash ribbonsDerived from Bitcoin miner hashrate.
  • fear greedThe Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a market-wide (BTC-led) index, not per-coin.
  • pi cyclePi-Cycle constants (113/355DMA top, 471×0.745/150DMA bottom) are empirically calibrated to Bitcoin halving cycles and do not transfer.
  • onchain valuationMVRV-Z / Puell / BRK on-chain series are Bitcoin-only in this dataset.
Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:alt_cycle:sol:2026-07-23
  • Engine: alt-cycle-engine v1.0.0
  • As of: 23 Jul 2026 · computed 2026-07-23
  • Source: alt_cycle_snapshots (SOL) · point-in-time walk-forward

Related knowledge

This is a descriptive, explainable cycle read for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Percentile and historical figures describe the past; they do not predict the future.

Dig into the data

Backtest strategies on SOL, or query the Solana cycle via the API/MCP (arena_get_cycle).

← Market stateUpdated 23 Jul 2026