Arena Blog

Ethereum holds 60-65% of all tokenized value. Solana is growing three times as fast. BNB Chain, Stellar, and a handful of Layer-2s join in. What that means for the prices of ETH, SOL, and the rest — and where the "tokenization pumps the coin" story promises more than the mechanics can deliver.

Elliott Wave promises a map for market movements. In reality, the theory has a problem that blocks any systematic validation. We look at why an EW backtest mechanically fails, what you can test instead, and what that means for traders without a PhD in wave counting.

There's no textbook SaaS pitch behind Backtesting Arena — just the simple question every serious trader asks after enough cycles: which rules would have actually kept me out of the worst losses? An honest origin story.

RSI is the most popular indicator in crypto trading. But does the classic "oversold = buy" logic actually work? We ran the numbers — and the results show: without a trend filter, RSI is a trap. With the right setup, it becomes a real strategy.

A new strategy is live: Supertrend, one of the most popular indicators on TradingView. ATR-based bands that ratchet with the trend — the stop only moves in trend direction, never back. Default 10/3.0 with Wilder smoothing. Pro+.

A new app called Tando bridges the Bitcoin Lightning Network directly to M-PESA. The recipient gets Kenyan shillings on their phone — no wallet, no seed phrase, no KYC. Lightning's killer feature isn't speed. It's invisible infrastructure under rails people already trust.

This is the crypto-rail deep-dive companion to our earlier piece [AI and the Future of Payment Systems](https://tradingstrategies.work/blog/ai-future-of-payment-systems-2026), which covered the broader fintech picture including Visa Intelligent Commerce and Mastercard Agent Pay. Here we zoom in on what's happening on the crypto layer specifically.

TradingView is excellent for charting and visual analysis — but for the question whether a strategy systematically works across assets, it isn't built. Why fast, comparable backtesting requires a different class of tool.

Payment systems are being fundamentally rebuilt right now. The driver isn't crypto — it's AI. What Visa, Mastercard, AWS, and Citi are pivoting toward simultaneously, and the architecture taking shape for the next decade.

Heiken-Ashi candles have been a popular noise filter from Japan for decades. Smoothed Heiken Ashi takes it one step further and smooths the OHLC data twice — before and after the HA calculation. Live today as the latest strategy in the Backtesting Arena.

On June 1, CME launches Bitcoin volatility futures. This doesn't move Bitcoin directly — but over years, it changes how volatile Bitcoin actually behaves. What does that mean for the ATR multipliers we use to calibrate trailing stops and filters? And how do retail traders use ATR to systematically build market maturity into their own backtests?

Self-custody of Bitcoin has a problem rarely discussed: what happens to your coins if something happens to you? We look at how Miniscript, the Liana wallet, and the BitBox02 address this technically — and where the limits are.