Mayer Multiple
The Mayer Multiple is one of the simplest and most enduring Bitcoin-valuation heuristics. Trace Mayer popularised the price-รท-200-day-MA ratio in 2014 โ values below 1 mark generational buy opportunities, above 2.4 they indicate top zones.
- Formula:
- Price รท SMA(200)
- Originator:
- Trace Mayer (2014)
- Data source:
- Binance OHLC + TV-CSV (derived, backfilled 2026-05-28)
Strategies to backtest
Thematically related strategies from our library โ try them in the backtest engine or read up on the methodology.
The classic trend-following signal โ when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, the trend has flipped bullish.
Open strategy โTwo EMAs plus an ATR-based neutral zone โ like the commercial Larsson Line, but tunable, transparent, and backtested. Choose your bias.
Open strategy โMore Bitcoin indicators
111-day SMA vs. 350-day SMA ร 2. Classic top signal by Philip Swift โ historical crossovers nailed every BTC bull-run top to within days.
Logarithmic regression on BTC price since 2010 with nine colour bands โ from "Fire Sale" deep blue to "Maximum Bubble" red.
What happens if the next 4-year cycle plays out like 2022-2026, 2018-2022 or 2014-2018? Multiplicative overlay paths from today's price.